Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mirandes win with a probability of 37.51%. A draw had a probability of 31.5% and a win for Sporting Gijon had a probability of 31.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mirandes win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.64%) and 2-1 (6.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.56%), while for a Sporting Gijon win it was 0-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.

Result
Mirandes	Draw	Sporting Gijon
37.51% ( 1.96)	31.48% ( 0.77)	31.01% ( -2.74)

Both teams to score 38.09% (

-2.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

30.33% (

-2.41)

69.66% (

2.41)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

12.98% (

-1.59)

87.02% (

1.59)

Mirandes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.09% (

-0.03)

35.9% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.32% (

-0.03)

72.68% (

0.03)

Sporting Gijon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.42% (

-3.44)

40.58% (

3.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.82% (

-3.25)

77.17% (

3.25)

Score Analysis

Mirandes 37.51%

Sporting Gijon 31.01%

Draw 31.47%

Mirandes	Draw	Sporting Gijon
1-0 @ 14.92% ( 1.27) 2-0 @ 7.64% ( 0.64) 2-1 @ 6.89% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 2.61% ( 0.22) 3-1 @ 2.35% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.03% Total : 37.51%	0-0 @ 14.56% ( 1.24) 1-1 @ 13.46% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 3.11% ( -0.33) Other @ 0.34% Total : 31.47%	0-1 @ 13.14% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 6.07% ( -0.63) 0-2 @ 5.93% ( -0.61) 1-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.39) 0-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.38) 2-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.2) Other @ 1.33% Total : 31.01%