Segunda Division | Gameweek 37

Apr 27, 2025 at 5.30pm UK

Estadio La Rosaleda

Malaga
1 - 0
Castellon

Ruiz Rubio (23')
Ruiz Rubio (48'), Galilea (67'), Luismi (80'), Medina (82'), Pastor (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Vertrouwd (62'), Jimenez (72'), Chirino (82')

Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Malaga and Castellon.

Form, Standings, Stats

Malaga

All competitions

Last Game: Eibar 2-2 Malaga
Monday, April 21 at 7.30pm in Segunda Division

Goals
for

Castellon

All competitions

Last Game: Castellon 4-1 Almeria
Friday, April 18 at 8pm in Segunda Division

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaga win with a probability of 39.11%. A win for Castellon had a probability of 32.95% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malaga win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.13%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Castellon win was 0-1 (10.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Malaga in this match.

Result
Malaga	Draw	Castellon
39.11% ( -0.43)	27.93% ( -0)	32.95% ( 0.42)

Both teams to score 47.67% (

0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.73% (

0.08)

58.26% (

-0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.1% (

0.06)

78.89% (

-0.07)

Malaga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.01% (

-0.2)

28.99% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.11% (

-0.25)

64.88% (

0.25)

Castellon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.12% (

0.33)

32.87% (

-0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.55% (

0.37)

69.45% (

-0.38)

Score Analysis

Malaga 39.11%

Castellon 32.95%

Draw 27.93%

Malaga	Draw	Castellon
1-0 @ 11.8% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 8.13% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 7.31% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 3.36% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.02% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 1.87% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.67% Total : 39.11%	1-1 @ 13.12% 0-0 @ 9.53% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.52% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.93%	0-1 @ 10.6% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 7.3% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 5.9% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 2.71% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.58% Total : 32.95%