Segunda Division | Gameweek 33

Mar 30, 2025 at 3.15pm UK

Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere

Real Oviedo
2 - 1
Malaga

Colombatto (74'), Molina (90+3' og.)
Luengo (12')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Dioni (85')

Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Real Oviedo and Malaga.

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Oviedo

All competitions

Last Game: Granada 1-0 Real Oviedo
Saturday, March 22 at 8pm in Segunda Division

Goals
for

Malaga

All competitions

Last Game: Malaga 2-0 Racing de Ferrol
Saturday, March 22 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Oviedo win with a probability of 49.17%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Malaga had a probability of 24.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Oviedo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.37%) and 2-1 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.3%), while for a Malaga win it was 0-1 (8.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Oviedo would win this match.

Result
Real Oviedo	Draw	Malaga
49.17% ( 0.19)	26% ( -0.27)	24.83% ( 0.08)

Both teams to score 48.71% (

0.85)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.28% (

1.07)

54.72% (

-1.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.96% (

0.88)

76.04% (

-0.89)

Real Oviedo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.71% (

0.53)

22.29% (

-0.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.25% (

0.8)

55.74% (

-0.8)

Malaga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.68% (

0.67)

37.31% (

-0.67)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.9% (

0.66)

74.1% (

-0.66)

Score Analysis

Real Oviedo 49.16%

Malaga 24.83%

Draw 25.99%

Real Oviedo	Draw	Malaga
1-0 @ 12.48% ( -0.32) 2-0 @ 9.37% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 9.24% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 4.69% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.62% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 2.28% ( 0.1) 4-0 @ 1.76% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.74% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.99% Total : 49.16%	1-1 @ 12.3% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 8.32% ( -0.35) 2-2 @ 4.55% ( 0.12) Other @ 0.82% Total : 25.99%	0-1 @ 8.2% ( -0.2) 1-2 @ 6.07% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 4.04% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.71% Total : 24.83%