Segunda Division Gameweek 33
Mar 30, 2025 3.15pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere
  • Oier Luengo 12' yellowcard
  • Santiago Colombatto 74' goal
  • Manu Molina 90'+3' goal
  • goal Dioni 85'

Real Oviedo vs Malaga - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Oviedo

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last game
Mar 22, 2025 8.00pm
Granada 1 - 0 Real Oviedo
Goals scored
59
Top scorer
Alexandre Alemao

Malaga

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last game
Mar 22, 2025 5.30pm
Malaga 2 - 0 Racing de Ferrol
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Dioni

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Oviedo win with a probability of 49.17%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Malaga had a probability of 24.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Oviedo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.37%) and 2-1 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.3%), while for a Malaga win it was 0-1 (8.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Oviedo would win this match.

Result

Real Oviedo 49.17% (+0.19)
Draw 26% (-0.28)
Malaga 24.83% (+0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.71% (+0.86)

Goals

Over 2.5 45.28% (+1.08)
Under 2.5 54.72% (-1.08)
Over 3.5 23.96% (+0.89)
Under 3.5 76.04% (-0.89)
Over 4.5 10.71% (+0.55)
Under 4.5 89.29% (-0.55)

Real Oviedo Goals

Over 0.5 77.71% (+0.54)
Under 0.5 22.29% (-0.54)
Over 1.5 44.25% (+0.80)
Under 1.5 55.74% (-0.81)

Malaga Goals

Over 0.5 62.68% (+0.67)
Under 0.5 37.31% (-0.68)
Over 1.5 25.9% (+0.66)
Under 1.5 74.1% (-0.66)

Score analysis

Real Oviedo 49.16%
Draw 25.99%
Malaga 24.83%
Real Oviedo
1-0 @ 12.48% (-0.33)
2-0 @ 9.37% (-0.10)
2-1 @ 9.24% (+0.08)
3-0 @ 4.69% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 4.62% (+0.12)
3-2 @ 2.28% (+0.10)
4-0 @ 1.76% (+0.04)
4-1 @ 1.74% (+0.07)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 49.16%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.3% (-0.09)
0-0 @ 8.32% (-0.36)
2-2 @ 4.55% (+0.13)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 25.99%
Malaga
0-1 @ 8.2% (-0.20)
1-2 @ 6.07% (+0.07)
0-2 @ 4.04% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 1.99% (+0.06)
2-3 @ 1.5% (+0.07)
0-3 @ 1.33% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 24.83%

Head to Head

Segunda Division Gameweek 10
Oct 19, 2024 3.15pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio La Rosaleda
  • Carlos Francisco Puga Medina 39' yellowcard
  • Sergio Castel 86' yellowcard
  • Kevin Medina 90'+16' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Oier Luengo 85'
  • yellowcard Kwasi Sibo 90'+9'
  • redcard Oier Luengo 90'+13'
  • yellowcard Santiago Colombatto 90'+16'
Segunda Division Gameweek 26
Feb 3, 2023 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio La Rosaleda
  • goal Manu Vallejo 58'
Segunda Division Gameweek 12
Oct 24, 2022 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere
  • Borja Baston 45'+5' goal
Segunda Division Gameweek 39
May 7, 2022 5.15pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • yellowcard Luismi 42'
  • yellowcard David Costas 54'
  • yellowcard Samuel Obeng 90'+4'
Segunda Division Gameweek 13
Oct 31, 2021 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • David Costas 15' yellowcard
  • Borja Baston 20' goal
  • Mossa 73' yellowcard
  • Borja Baston 90'+1' goal
  • goal Genaro Rodriguez 74'
Segunda Division Gameweek 39
May 17, 2021 6.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Sergio Tejera 56' yellowcard
  • Lucas Ahijado 61' goal
  • Matias Nahuel 69' yellowcard
  • Rodri 70' yellowcard
  • Juanjo Nieto 81' yellowcard
  • Christian Fernandez Salas 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sergio Guerrero Romero 56'
  • yellowcard Cristo Romero 72'
  • yellowcard Joaquin Munoz 88'
  • yellowcard Alexander Gonzalez 90'+2'