Segunda Division | Gameweek 27
Feb 15, 2025 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio Municipal Cartagonova

Cartagena
0 - 1
Malaga


Moreno San Vidal (29'), Pepin (90+5'), Guerrero (90+2'), El Jebari El Hannouni (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Baturina (90+4')
Larrubia (9'), Merino (35'), Molina (87'), Enriquez (90+2')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Cartagena and Malaga.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cartagena

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last Game: Cadiz 5-2 Cartagena
Sunday, February 9 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division

Malaga

All competitions
Last Game: Malaga 1-1 Levante
Saturday, February 8 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaga win with a probability of 39.65%. A win for Cartagena had a probability of 32.35% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malaga win was 0-1 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.17%) and 0-2 (7.46%). The likeliest Cartagena win was 1-0 (10.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Malaga in this match.

Result
CartagenaDrawMalaga
32.35% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)28% (-0.080000000000002 -0.08)39.65% (0.169 0.17)
Both teams to score 47.34% (0.211 0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.39% (0.27200000000001 0.27)58.61% (-0.27 -0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.83% (0.212 0.21)79.17% (-0.20999999999999 -0.21)
Cartagena Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.52% (0.081999999999994 0.08)33.48% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.89% (0.088999999999999 0.09)70.11% (-0.086999999999989 -0.09)
Malaga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.16% (0.229 0.23)28.84% (-0.228 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.3% (0.284 0.28)64.7% (-0.28200000000001 -0.28)
Score Analysis
    Cartagena 32.34%
    Malaga 39.65%
    Draw 27.99%
CartagenaDrawMalaga
1-0 @ 10.56% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-1 @ 7.19% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 5.78% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-1 @ 2.62% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.11% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.63% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 32.34%
1-1 @ 13.13% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 9.66% (-0.099 -0.1)
2-2 @ 4.47% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 27.99%
0-1 @ 12% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
1-2 @ 8.17% (0.038 0.04)
0-2 @ 7.46% (0.018 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.38% (0.036 0.04)
0-3 @ 3.09% (0.027 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.85% (0.024 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.05% (0.018 0.02)
0-4 @ 0.96% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 39.65%

Head to Head
Nov 9, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 14
Malaga
1-0
Cartagena
Monte (45+5')
Molina (33'), Baturina (83'), Gabilondo (90+2')

Teguia (18'), Vukcevic (23'), Guerrero (54')
Apr 16, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 36
Malaga
1-0
Cartagena
Chavarria (21')
Nov 3, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 14
Cartagena
2-1
Malaga
Ortuno (51'), Jansson (77')
Gutierrez (60')
Feb 28, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 29
Malaga
1-1
Cartagena
Brandon (54')
Vadillo (7'), Escassi (45+1'), Chavarria (90+3')
Okazaki (90+5')
Datkovic (57')
Nov 7, 2021 5.15pm
Gameweek 15
Cartagena
3-1
Malaga
Castro (45' pen., 65'), Vazquez (54')
Andujar (5'), Neskes (90+3')
Peybernes (82')
Jimenez (9'), Rodriguez (37'), Gomez (43'), de la Fuente (61'), Peybernes (78')
rhs 2.0


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