Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Oviedo win with a probability of 45.73%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Cartagena had a probability of 25.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Oviedo win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.39%) and 1-2 (8.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.98%), while for a Cartagena win it was 1-0 (10.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Real Oviedo in this match.