Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mirandes win with a probability of 36.35%. A win for Real Oviedo had a probability of 31.99% and a draw had a probability of 31.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mirandes win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.34%) and 2-1 (6.72%). The likeliest Real Oviedo win was 0-1 (13.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (14.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Mirandes in this match.