Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mirandes win with a probability of 59.92%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Racing Club de Ferrol had a probability of 14.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mirandes win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.72%) and 2-1 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.47%), while for a Racing Club de Ferrol win it was 0-1 (7.09%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mirandes would win this match.