Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cadiz win with a probability of 44.36%. A draw had a probability of 30.1% and a win for Mirandes had a probability of 25.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cadiz win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.42%) and 2-1 (7.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.4%), while for a Mirandes win it was 0-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cadiz would win this match.