Segunda Division | Gameweek 28
Feb 22, 2025 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio Municipal de El Plantio

Burgos
1 - 2
Real Oviedo

Sanchez (28')
Grego (84'), Miguel (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Alemao (40'), Calvo (55')
de la Hoz (39')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Burgos and Real Oviedo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Zaragoza 0-1 Burgos
Sunday, February 16 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Real Oviedo 1-0 Albacete
Sunday, February 16 at 8pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Oviedo win with a probability of 37.24%. A win for Burgos had a probability of 32.04% and a draw had a probability of 30.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Oviedo win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.45%) and 1-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Burgos win was 1-0 (12.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Oviedo would win this match.

Result
BurgosDrawReal Oviedo
32.04% (0.093999999999998 0.09)30.72% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)37.24% (-0.07 -0.07)
Both teams to score 40.07% (0.078000000000003 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
32.56% (0.084000000000003 0.08)67.44% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
14.44% (0.056000000000001 0.06)85.56% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Burgos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.5% (0.119 0.12)38.5% (-0.119 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.76% (0.114 0.11)75.24% (-0.114 -0.11)
Real Oviedo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.15%34.86%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.41% (0.00099999999999767 0)71.59% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Burgos 32.04%
    Real Oviedo 37.24%
    Draw 30.71%
BurgosDrawReal Oviedo
1-0 @ 12.8%
2-1 @ 6.44% (0.022 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.11% (0.021 0.02)
3-1 @ 2.05% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.95% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.08% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 32.04%
1-1 @ 13.5% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 13.41% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-2 @ 3.4% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 30.71%
0-1 @ 14.14% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-2 @ 7.45% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.11% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-3 @ 2.62% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.5%
2-3 @ 1.19% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 37.24%

Head to Head
Nov 3, 2024 1pm
Gameweek 13
Real Oviedo
3-1
Burgos
Luengo (42'), Paraschiv (72'), Chaira (88')
Nino (26')
Sancris (77')
Feb 17, 2024 3.15pm
Gameweek 27
Real Oviedo
5-0
Burgos
Moyano (14', 45+1', 51'), Seoane (42'), Baston (89' pen.)
Dubasin (35'), Moyano (67')
Aug 26, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 3
Burgos
1-0
Real Oviedo
Nino (14')
Grego (45+4'), Nino (71'), Matos (88'), Curro (90+1')

Seoane (9'), Costas (34'), Calvo (60')
Seoane (40')
Feb 12, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 27
Real Oviedo
0-1
Burgos
Atienza (51')
Sep 10, 2022 3.15pm
rhs 2.0


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