Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 39.74%. A win for Real Oviedo had a probability of 32.86% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Real Oviedo win was 0-1 (10.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.

Result
Almeria	Draw	Real Oviedo
39.74% ( -0.25)	27.41% ( 0.01)	32.86% ( 0.24)

Both teams to score 49.2% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.67% (

0.01)

56.33% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.64% (

77.36% (

-0.01)

Almeria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.3% (

-0.14)

27.71% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.73% (

-0.18)

63.27% (

0.17)

Real Oviedo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.05% (

0.16)

31.95% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.59% (

0.19)

68.41% (

-0.19)

Score Analysis

Almeria 39.74%

Real Oviedo 32.86%

Draw 27.41%

Almeria	Draw	Real Oviedo
1-0 @ 11.36% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.32% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 7.29% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 3.56% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.12% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.03% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.14% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.91% Total : 39.74%	1-1 @ 12.96% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.85% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.75% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.85% Total : 27.41%	0-1 @ 10.1% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 7.4% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 5.76% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 2.81% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.79% Total : 32.86%