Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaga win with a probability of 38.78%. A draw had a probability of 30.9% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 30.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malaga win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.91%) and 2-1 (7.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.76%), while for a Cadiz win it was 0-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.