Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albacete win with a probability of 39.95%. A win for Cadiz had a probability of 31.77% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Albacete win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.12%) and 2-0 (7.63%). The likeliest Cadiz win was 0-1 (10.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Albacete would win this match.