Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albacete win with a probability of 39.06%. A win for Real Zaragoza had a probability of 32.14% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Albacete win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.89%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Real Zaragoza win was 0-1 (11.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Albacete would win this match.