Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Zaragoza win with a probability of 49.92%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Tenerife had a probability of 21.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Zaragoza win was 1-0 with a probability of 17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.02%) and 2-1 (8.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.11%), while for a Tenerife win it was 0-1 (9.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.