Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albacete win with a probability of 36.52%. A win for Tenerife had a probability of 31.87% and a draw had a probability of 31.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Albacete win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.38%) and 1-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Tenerife win was 1-0 (13.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (14.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.