Segunda Division | Gameweek 31
Mar 17, 2025 at 7.30pm UK
Nou Estadi Castalia

Castellon
2 - 2
Deportivo

Suero (14'), Vertrouwd (47')
Mabil (22'), Chirino (63'), van den Belt (72'), Sanchez (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Hernandez (6'), Vazquez (57')
Barcia Rama (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Segunda Division clash between Castellon and Deportivo La Coruna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Elche 3-1 Castellon
Saturday, March 8 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Deportivo 1-1 Cordoba
Friday, March 7 at 8pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Castellon win with a probability of 44.65%. A win for Deportivo La Coruna had a probability of 28.48% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Castellon win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (8.39%). The likeliest Deportivo La Coruna win was 0-1 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
CastellonDrawDeportivo La Coruna
44.65% (0.63 0.63)26.87% (-0.119 -0.12)28.48% (-0.509 -0.51)
Both teams to score 48.96% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.23% (0.214 0.21)55.77% (-0.214 -0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.1% (0.175 0.18)76.9% (-0.175 -0.17)
Castellon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.14% (0.40900000000001 0.41)24.86% (-0.409 -0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.54% (0.566 0.57)59.46% (-0.566 -0.57)
Deportivo La Coruna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.15% (-0.27800000000001 -0.28)34.84% (0.279 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.42% (-0.295 -0.29)71.58% (0.29600000000001 0.3)
Score Analysis
    Castellon 44.64%
    Deportivo La Coruna 28.48%
    Draw 26.87%
CastellonDrawDeportivo La Coruna
1-0 @ 12.05% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 8.85% (0.068 0.07)
2-0 @ 8.39% (0.128 0.13)
3-1 @ 4.11% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
3-0 @ 3.89% (0.104 0.1)
3-2 @ 2.16% (0.026 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.43% (0.044 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.36% (0.051 0.05)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 44.64%
1-1 @ 12.71% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
0-0 @ 8.66% (-0.072000000000001 -0.07)
2-2 @ 4.66% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 26.87%
0-1 @ 9.13% (-0.146 -0.15)
1-2 @ 6.7% (-0.079 -0.08)
0-2 @ 4.81% (-0.115 -0.12)
1-3 @ 2.36% (-0.046 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.69% (-0.054 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.64% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 28.48%

How you voted: Castellon vs Deportivo

Castellon
23.4%
Draw
17.2%
Deportivo La Coruna
59.4%
64
Head to Head
Dec 19, 2024 8.15pm
Gameweek 20
Deportivo
5-1
Castellon
Mella (36', 39'), Villares Yanez (45'), Barbero (49'), Hernandez (52' pen.)
Vazquez (77')
Aurelio (7')
Aurelio (29'), Obinna Mamah (57')
rhs 2.0


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