Elche
Segunda Division | Gameweek 30
Mar 8, 2025 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio Manuel Martinez Valero

Elche
3 - 1
Castellon

Alvarez (30'), Valera (37'), Nwankwo (74')
Bigas (68')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Gil (77')
van den Belt (71')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Elche and Castellon.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Racing 2-0 Elche
Sunday, March 2 at 8pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Castellon 2-1 Burgos
Saturday, March 1 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elche win with a probability of 61.22%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Castellon had a probability of 16.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Elche win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.09%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.69%), while for a Castellon win it was 0-1 (5.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elche would win this match.

Result
ElcheDrawCastellon
61.22% (0.048999999999999 0.05)22.66% (-0.026 -0.03)16.12% (-0.02 -0.02)
Both teams to score 45.73% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.95% (0.064 0.06)52.05% (-0.059999999999995 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.22% (0.056000000000001 0.06)73.78% (-0.051999999999992 -0.05)
Elche Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.43% (0.039999999999992 0.04)16.57% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.64% (0.067999999999998 0.07)46.36% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Castellon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.81% (0.010999999999996 0.01)45.19% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.92% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)81.08% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Elche 61.21%
    Castellon 16.12%
    Draw 22.66%
ElcheDrawCastellon
1-0 @ 13.46% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 12.09%
2-1 @ 9.61% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 7.25% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.76% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.26% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.59% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.29% (0.004 0)
5-0 @ 1.17% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.03% (0.0029999999999999 0)
5-1 @ 0.93% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 61.21%
1-1 @ 10.69% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.49% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-2 @ 3.82% (0.0020000000000002 0)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 22.66%
0-1 @ 5.95% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.25% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 2.36% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 1.13%
2-3 @ 1.01% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.43%
Total : 16.12%

Head to Head
Dec 22, 2024 3.15pm
Gameweek 21
Castellon
0-2
Elche

Ruiz (78')
Mourad (28'), Bigas (45+1')
Mourad (40'), Salinas (71')
Jul 31, 2024 6pm
Club Friendlies 3
Elche
0-6
Castellon
De Miguel Alameda (23' pen.), Aurelio (32'), Lottin (43'), Cipenga (48'), Villahermosa (60'), Sanchez (62')
rhs 2.0


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