Segunda Division Gameweek 30
Mar 8, 2025 5.30pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Manuel Martinez Valero
  • Agustin Alvarez 30' goal
  • German Valera 37' goal
  • Pedro Bigas 68' yellowcard
  • John Nwankwo 74' goal
  • yellowcard Thomas van den Belt 71'
  • goal Oscar Gil 77'

Elche vs Castellon - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Elche

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last game
Mar 2, 2025 8.00pm
Racing 2 - 0 Elche
Goals scored
59
Top scorer
Agustin Alvarez

Castellon

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last game
Mar 1, 2025 3.15pm
Castellon 2 - 1 Burgos
Goals scored
65
Top scorer
Raul Sanchez

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elche win with a probability of 61.22%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Castellon had a probability of 16.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Elche win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.09%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.69%), while for a Castellon win it was 0-1 (5.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elche would win this match.

Result

Elche 61.22% (+0.05)
Draw 22.66% (-0.03)
Castellon 16.12% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.73% (+0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 47.95% (+0.07)
Under 2.5 52.05% (-0.06)
Over 3.5 26.22% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 73.78% (-0.06)
Over 4.5 12.14% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 87.86% (-0.04)

Elche Goals

Over 0.5 83.43% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 16.57% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 53.64% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 46.36% (-0.07)

Castellon Goals

Over 0.5 54.81% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 45.19% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 18.92% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 81.08% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Elche 61.21%
Draw 22.66%
Castellon 16.12%
Elche
1-0 @ 13.46% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 12.09%
2-1 @ 9.61% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 7.25% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.76% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 3.26% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.59% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.29% (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.17% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.03% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 61.21%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.69% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 7.49% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 3.82% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 22.66%
Castellon
0-1 @ 5.95% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 4.25% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.36% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.13%
2-3 @ 1.01% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.43%
Total : 16.12%

Head to Head

Segunda Division Gameweek 21
Dec 22, 2024 3.15pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Nou Estadi Castalia
  • Salva Ruiz 78' yellowcard
  • goal Mourad 28'
  • yellowcard Mourad 40'
  • goal Pedro Bigas 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Jose Salinas 71'
Club Friendlies 3
Jul 31, 2024 6.00pm
0
6
HT : 0 3
FT Estadio Manuel Martinez Valero
  • goal Jesus De Miguel Alameda 23'
  • goal Douglas Aurelio 32'
  • goal Albert Lottin 43'
  • goal Brian Cipenga 48'
  • goal Dani Villahermosa 60'
  • goal Raul Sanchez 62'