Elche
Segunda Division | Gameweek 28
Feb 23, 2025 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio Manuel Martinez Valero

Elche
2 - 1
Cartagena

Valera (60'), Alvarez (63')
Affengruber (41'), Salinas (68')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Millan (48')
Cunat (63'), Guerrero (82'), Nacho (90+3')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Elche and Cartagena.

Form, Standings, Stats

Elche

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last Game: Almeria 1-1 Elche
Monday, February 17 at 7.30pm in Segunda Division

Cartagena

All competitions
Last Game: Cartagena 0-1 Malaga
Saturday, February 15 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elche win with a probability of 72.56%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Cartagena had a probability of 8.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Elche win was 1-0 with a probability of 17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (16.61%) and 3-0 (10.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (8.71%), while for a Cartagena win it was 0-1 (4.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elche would win this match.

Result
ElcheDrawCartagena
72.56% (0.47 0.47)19.19% (-0.274 -0.27)8.25% (-0.199 -0.2)
Both teams to score 33.1% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.1% (0.415 0.41)55.9% (-0.418 -0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.99% (0.336 0.34)77.01% (-0.339 -0.34)
Elche Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.82% (0.277 0.28)14.17% (-0.279 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.13% (0.541 0.54)41.86% (-0.545 -0.55)
Cartagena Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
38.57% (-0.222 -0.22)61.43% (0.217 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
8.64% (-0.108 -0.11)91.36% (0.105 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Elche 72.54%
    Cartagena 8.25%
    Draw 19.19%
ElcheDrawCartagena
1-0 @ 17% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-0 @ 16.61% (0.07 0.07)
3-0 @ 10.82% (0.15 0.15)
2-1 @ 8.1% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-0 @ 5.29% (0.127 0.13)
3-1 @ 5.27% (0.036 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.58% (0.043 0.04)
5-0 @ 2.07% (0.07 0.07)
3-2 @ 1.29% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 1.01% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 72.54%
0-0 @ 8.71% (-0.141 -0.14)
1-1 @ 8.29% (-0.111 -0.11)
2-2 @ 1.97% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 19.19%
0-1 @ 4.24% (-0.1 -0.1)
1-2 @ 2.02% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-2 @ 1.03% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 8.25%

Head to Head
Oct 23, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 11
Cartagena
0-0
Elche
Kiko (13')
Jandro (14')
Feb 25, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 28
Cartagena
0-1
Elche

Calero (75'), Calero (75'), Gonzalo (90+4')
Castro (57')
Dec 10, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 19
Elche
1-2
Cartagena
Plano (18')
Morente (25'), Garces (89'), Bigas (90+9')
Ortuno (66'), Munoz (84')
Jansson (71'), Gonzalo (78'), Fontan (88'), Ortuno (90+4')