Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 39.65%. A win for Elche had a probability of 32.34% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.16%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Elche win was 0-1 (10.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.