Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 39.65%. A win for Elche had a probability of 32.34% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.16%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Elche win was 0-1 (10.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.

Result
Almeria	Draw	Elche
39.65% ( -0.61)	28.01% ( 0.11)	32.34% ( 0.5)

Both teams to score 47.3% (

-0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.35% (

-0.29)

58.65% (

0.3)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.8% (

-0.23)

79.2% (

0.23)

Almeria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.14% (

-0.49)

28.86% (

0.49)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.27% (

-0.61)

64.73% (

0.62)

Elche Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.5% (

0.21)

33.5% (

-0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.86% (

0.22)

70.14% (

-0.22)

Score Analysis

Almeria 39.64%

Elche 32.34%

Draw 28.01%

Almeria	Draw	Elche
1-0 @ 12.01% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.16% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 7.47% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 3.38% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 3.09% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 1.85% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.05% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 0.96% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.67% Total : 39.64%	1-1 @ 13.14% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 9.67% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 4.46% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.73% Total : 28.01%	0-1 @ 10.57% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 7.19% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 5.78% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 2.11% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.63% Other @ 2.45% Total : 32.34%

How you voted: Almeria vs Elche

Almeria

53.3%

Draw

36.7%

Elche

10.0%

Head to Head

Nov 8, 2024 7.30pm

Gameweek 14

Elche

1-2

Almeria

Salinas (4')
Fernandez (60'), Gaspar (66'), Guti (90+1')

Lopy (37'), Suarez Charris (54')
Pubill (14'), Centelles (34'), Lopy (37'), Lopy (38'), Baba (42'), Puigmal (74'), Martinez (79'), Fettal Dhimi (90+4'), Fettal Dhimi (90+3')

May 2, 2023 6.30pm

Gameweek 33

Almeria

2-1

Elche

Baptistao (22'), Embarba (52')

Ponce (90')

> Preview

Aug 22, 2022 7pm

Gameweek 2

Elche

1-1