Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Castellon win with a probability of 40.33%. A win for Almeria had a probability of 35.68% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Castellon win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.42%) and 2-0 (5.88%). The likeliest Almeria win was 1-2 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Castellon would win this match.

Result
Castellon	Draw	Almeria
40.33% ( -0.97)	23.99% ( 0.11)	35.68% ( 0.86)

Both teams to score 61.33% (

-0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.03% (

-0.38)

40.97% (

0.38)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.64% (

-0.39)

63.37% (

0.39)

Castellon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.48% (

-0.6)

20.52% (

0.61)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.98% (

-0.97)

53.02% (

0.97)

Almeria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.16% (

0.29)

22.84% (

-0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.44% (

0.42)

56.56% (

-0.42)

Score Analysis

Castellon 40.33%

Almeria 35.68%

Draw 23.99%

Castellon	Draw	Almeria
2-1 @ 8.68% ( -0.1) 1-0 @ 7.42% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.88% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 4.58% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 3.38% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 3.1% ( -0.12) 4-1 @ 1.81% ( -0.09) 4-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.23% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.91% Total : 40.33%	1-1 @ 10.96% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 6.41% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.69% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.99%	1-2 @ 8.09% ( 0.13) 0-1 @ 6.92% ( 0.18) 0-2 @ 5.11% ( 0.17) 1-3 @ 3.98% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 3.16% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.52% ( 0.11) 1-4 @ 1.47% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.34% Total : 35.68%