Almeria
Segunda Division | Gameweek 35
Apr 13, 2025 at 8pm UK
Estadio de los Juegos Mediterraneos

Almeria
2 - 1
Cartagena

Baptistao (9'), Suarez Charris (54')
Nico (45'), Pubill (81')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Millan (85' pen.)
Moreno San Vidal (39')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Almeria and Cartagena.

Form, Standings, Stats

Almeria

All competitions
Last Game: Granada 3-1 Almeria
Saturday, April 5 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division

Cartagena

All competitions
Last Game: Cartagena 0-1 Eldense
Saturday, April 5 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 72.04%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Cartagena had a probability of 10.11%.

The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.47%) and 3-0 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.45%), while for a Cartagena win it was 0-1 (3.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Almeria would win this match.

Result
AlmeriaDrawCartagena
72.04% (-0.13500000000001 -0.14)17.85% (0.032 0.03)10.11% (0.106 0.11)
Both teams to score 43.68% (0.29 0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.57% (0.17 0.17)45.43% (-0.167 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.24% (0.161 0.16)67.76% (-0.15900000000001 -0.16)
Almeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.77% (0.010999999999996 0.01)11.23% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.22% (0.022999999999996 0.02)35.78% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Cartagena Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.21% (0.322 0.32)50.79% (-0.32100000000001 -0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.8% (0.218 0.22)85.2% (-0.215 -0.22)
Score Analysis
    Almeria 72.04%
    Cartagena 10.11%
    Draw 17.85%
AlmeriaDrawCartagena
2-0 @ 13.63% (-0.09 -0.09)
1-0 @ 12.47% (-0.08 -0.08)
3-0 @ 9.94% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
2-1 @ 9.24% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 6.73% (0.023 0.02)
4-0 @ 5.43% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-1 @ 3.68% (0.014 0.01)
5-0 @ 2.38% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.28% (0.029 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.61% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.25% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 72.04%
1-1 @ 8.45% (0.022 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.7% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
2-2 @ 3.13% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 17.85%
0-1 @ 3.86% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-2 @ 2.86% (0.034 0.03)
0-2 @ 1.31% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 10.11%

Head to Head
Nov 23, 2024 1pm
Gameweek 16
Cartagena
1-2
Almeria
Valles (35')
Guerrero (54'), Musto (54')
Arribas (24'), Suarez Charris (65')
Gonzalez (6')
Aug 4, 2024 7.30pm
Club Friendlies 3
Cartagena
1-1
Almeria
(Aggregate 1-1 | Cartagena win 0-0 on penalties)
Izquierdo (12')
Baptistao (90+1')
Lopy (23'), Ramazani (25')
Jan 2, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 22
Almeria
0-1
Cartagena
Silva (39')
Boateng (35'), Silva (36'), Cayarga (40'), Alcala (50'), de Blasis (64')
Gil (90+3')
Aug 16, 2021 9pm
Gameweek 1
Cartagena
1-3
Almeria
Luna (49')
Andujar (13'), Awazi Kawaya Kinghi Mwana Mufala (90+1')
Sadiq (19'), Ramazani (35', 61')
Bunuel (18'), Sadiq (64')
May 18, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 40
Cartagena
3-2
Almeria
Castro (41', 47'), De Blasis (82' pen.)
Delmas (21'), Angel (25'), Navas (66'), de Blasis (83'), Zorrilla (90+2')
Sadiq (45+1'), Ramazani (54' pen.)
Samu (36'), Ramazani (76'), Makaridze (81')