Almeria
Segunda Division | Gameweek 31
Mar 15, 2025 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio de los Juegos Mediterraneos

Almeria
4 - 1
Zaragoza

Gonzalez (6'), Suarez Charris (16'), Nico (45+5'), Pubill (53')
Lopy (2')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Gonzalez (25' og.)
Luna (45')
Bazdar (80')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Almeria and Real Zaragoza.

Form, Standings, Stats

Almeria

All competitions
Last Game: Eibar 1-0 Almeria
Friday, March 7 at 6pm in Segunda Division

Real Zaragoza

All competitions
Last Game: Zaragoza 2-4 Eldense
Saturday, March 8 at 8pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 46.84%. A win for Real Zaragoza had a probability of 26.84% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (8.78%). The likeliest Real Zaragoza win was 0-1 (8.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Almeria would win this match.

Result
AlmeriaDrawReal Zaragoza
46.84% (0.016999999999996 0.02)26.31% (-0.104 -0.1)26.84% (0.084 0.08)
Both teams to score 49.5% (0.371 0.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.47% (0.45 0.45)54.53% (-0.452 -0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.12% (0.373 0.37)75.88% (-0.375 -0.38)
Almeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.73% (0.202 0.2)23.26% (-0.205 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.81% (0.293 0.29)57.19% (-0.29499999999999 -0.29)
Real Zaragoza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.5% (0.313 0.31)35.49% (-0.315 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.74% (0.323 0.32)72.26% (-0.324 -0.32)
Score Analysis
    Almeria 46.84%
    Real Zaragoza 26.84%
    Draw 26.31%
AlmeriaDrawReal Zaragoza
1-0 @ 12.04% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-1 @ 9.09% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 8.78% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
3-1 @ 4.42% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
3-0 @ 4.27% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.29% (0.04 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.61% (0.024 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.56% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 46.84%
1-1 @ 12.47% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 8.26% (-0.146 -0.15)
2-2 @ 4.71% (0.054 0.05)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 26.31%
0-1 @ 8.55% (-0.077 -0.08)
1-2 @ 6.46% (0.036 0.04)
0-2 @ 4.43% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 2.23% (0.032 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.63% (0.032 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.53% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 26.84%

Head to Head
Oct 20, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 10
Zaragoza
1-2
Almeria
Azon (12')
Bazdar (56'), Vital (83')
Suarez Charris (9' pen., 67')
Gonzalez (1'), Baba (18'), Chumi (48'), Lopy (78'), Melero (78'), Martinez (87')
Mar 4, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 30
Zaragoza
2-0
Almeria
Serrano (13'), Azon (79')
Alvarez (8')
Dec 11, 2021 5.15pm
Gameweek 20
Almeria
3-0
Zaragoza
Sadiq (61'), Pozo (86'), Ramazani (90+1')
Samu (37'), Babic (58')
Apr 11, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 34
Zaragoza
2-1
Almeria
Adrian (10'), Azon (80')
Nieto (18'), Chavarria (84')
Robertone (34')
Samu (17'), Robertone (32'), Balliu (57'), Petrovic (59'), Corpas (84')
Corpas (90+4')
Dec 9, 2020 6pm
Gameweek 2
Almeria
1-0
Zaragoza
Sadiq (59')
Centelles (65'), Sadiq (70'), Bunuel (90')

Azon (36'), Chavarria (42'), Frances (77')