Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Granada win with a probability of 46.77%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Real Zaragoza had a probability of 25.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Granada win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.33%) and 2-1 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.78%), while for a Real Zaragoza win it was 0-1 (9.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.