Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Huesca win with a probability of 42.54%. A win for Malaga had a probability of 30.45% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Huesca win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (7.86%). The likeliest Malaga win was 0-1 (9.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Huesca in this match.