Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burgos win with a probability of 44.62%. A draw had a probability of 31.7% and a win for Huesca had a probability of 23.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burgos win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.88%) and 2-1 (7.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (16.16%), while for a Huesca win it was 0-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burgos would win this match.