Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burgos win with a probability of 41.45%. A draw had a probability of 30.4% and a win for Racing Club de Ferrol had a probability of 28.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burgos win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.59%) and 1-2 (7.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.36%), while for a Racing Club de Ferrol win it was 1-0 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 15.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Burgos in this match.