Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burgos win with a probability of 39.17%. A draw had a probability of 31.6% and a win for Albacete had a probability of 29.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burgos win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.13%) and 2-1 (7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.86%), while for an Albacete win it was 0-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Burgos in this match.