Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Gijon win with a probability of 43.36%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Mirandes had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Gijon win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.73%) and 2-1 (8.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.15%), while for a Mirandes win it was 0-1 (10.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Gijon would win this match.