Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eldense win with a probability of 35.36%. A win for Mirandes had a probability of 34.25% and a draw had a probability of 30.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eldense win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.01%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Mirandes win was 0-1 (13.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.