Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mirandes win with a probability of 42.75%. A win for Racing de Santander had a probability of 29.03% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mirandes win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.38%) and 2-1 (8.35%). The likeliest Racing de Santander win was 0-1 (10.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mirandes would win this match.