Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eldense win with a probability of 35.42%. A win for Sporting Gijon had a probability of 35.01% and a draw had a probability of 29.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eldense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.25%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Sporting Gijon win was 0-1 (12.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result
Eldense	Draw	Sporting Gijon
35.42% ( 0.03)	29.57% ( 0.03)	35.01% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 43.29% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.27% (

-0.1)

63.73% (

0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.01% (

-0.07)

82.99% (

0.07)

Eldense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.94% (

-0.03)

34.06% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.25% (

-0.04)

70.75% (

0.04)

Sporting Gijon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.66% (

-0.1)

34.34% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.95% (

-0.1)

71.05% (

0.1)

Score Analysis

Eldense 35.42%

Sporting Gijon 35%

Draw 29.56%

Eldense	Draw	Sporting Gijon
1-0 @ 12.59% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 7.25% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.78% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.6% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.44% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.39% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.36% Total : 35.42%	1-1 @ 13.46% 0-0 @ 11.69% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 3.88% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.53% Total : 29.56%	0-1 @ 12.5% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.2% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 6.68% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.56% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.3% Total : 35%