Almeria
Segunda Division | Gameweek 38
May 4, 2025 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio de los Juegos Mediterraneos
Eldense

Almeria
5 - 0
Eldense

Baptistao (35'), Nico (39'), Suarez Charris (54', 70'), Guedes (89')
Lopy (25')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Barzic Gutierrez (38')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Almeria and Eldense.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Almeria 2-1 Racing de Ferrol
Tuesday, April 29 at 7.30pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Eldense 1-1 Cordoba
Saturday, April 26 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 64.76%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Eldense had a probability of 13.93%.

The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.81%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.04%), while for a Eldense win it was 0-1 (5.28%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Almeria would win this match.

Result
AlmeriaDrawEldense
64.76% (0.025999999999996 0.03)21.31% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)13.93% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Both teams to score 44.68% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.3% (0.076000000000001 0.08)50.69% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.4% (0.067 0.07)72.59% (-0.073000000000008 -0.07)
Almeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.05% (0.031999999999996 0.03)14.94% (-0.038 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.65% (0.064999999999998 0.06)43.34% (-0.073 -0.07)
Eldense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.53% (0.033999999999999 0.03)47.47% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.16% (0.026 0.03)82.84% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Almeria 64.75%
    Eldense 13.93%
    Draw 21.3%
AlmeriaDrawEldense
1-0 @ 13.48% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 12.81% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.55% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-0 @ 8.12% (0.004999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 6.05% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.86% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.88% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.25% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.47% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-1 @ 1.09% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.07% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 64.75%
1-1 @ 10.04% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.09% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 3.56% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 21.3%
0-1 @ 5.28% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-2 @ 3.74%
0-2 @ 1.97% (-0.002 -0)
1-3 @ 0.93% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2%
Total : 13.93%

Head to Head
Sep 8, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 4
Eldense
1-0
Almeria
Ortuno (82')
Godoy (45+1')

Lopy (24'), Arribas (53'), Pubill (90+9')