Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 75.41%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Racing Club de Ferrol had a probability of 8.27%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.53%) and 3-0 (10.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.69%), while for a Racing Club de Ferrol win it was 0-1 (3.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Almeria would win this match.