Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Oviedo win with a probability of 68.21%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Racing Club de Ferrol had a probability of 11.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Oviedo win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.8%) and 3-0 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.42%), while for a Racing Club de Ferrol win it was 0-1 (5%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Oviedo would win this match.