Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eldense win with a probability of 38.81%. A win for Malaga had a probability of 34.2% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eldense win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.31%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest Malaga win was 0-1 (9.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Eldense in this match.

Result
Eldense	Draw	Malaga
38.81% ( 0.04)	26.99% ( 0.5)	34.2% ( -0.53)

Both teams to score 50.75% (

-1.68)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.51% (

-2.09)

54.49% (

2.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.15% (

-1.77)

75.85% (

1.77)

Eldense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.64% (

-0.96)

27.36% (

0.96)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.18% (

-1.26)

62.82% (

1.27)

Malaga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.87% (

-1.37)

30.13% (

1.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.72% (

-1.67)

66.28% (

1.68)

Score Analysis

Eldense 38.8%

Malaga 34.2%

Draw 26.99%

Eldense	Draw	Malaga
1-0 @ 10.68% ( 0.57) 2-1 @ 8.31% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 6.93% ( 0.19) 3-1 @ 3.59% ( -0.14) 3-0 @ 2.99% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.17) 4-1 @ 1.16% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 0.97% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.02% Total : 38.8%	1-1 @ 12.81% ( 0.21) 0-0 @ 8.24% ( 0.65) 2-2 @ 4.98% ( -0.25) Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.99%	0-1 @ 9.89% ( 0.43) 1-2 @ 7.69% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 5.93% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.07% ( -0.19) 0-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.18) 1-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.33% Total : 34.2%