Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Granada win with a probability of 37.36%. A win for Malaga had a probability of 33.76% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Granada win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.68%) and 0-2 (7.12%). The likeliest Malaga win was 1-0 (11.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.

Result
Malaga	Draw	Granada
33.76% ( 1.13)	28.88% ( 0.26)	37.36% ( -1.38)

Both teams to score 45.1% (

-0.52)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.5% (

-0.73)

61.5% (

0.74)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.64% (

-0.54)

81.36% (

0.55)

Malaga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.99% (

0.4)

34.01% (

-0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.31% (

0.43)

70.69% (

-0.43)

Granada Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.35% (

-1.21)

31.65% (

1.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.94% (

-1.42)

68.06% (

1.42)

Score Analysis

Malaga 33.76%

Granada 37.35%

Draw 28.87%

Malaga	Draw	Granada
1-0 @ 11.6% ( 0.43) 2-1 @ 7.2% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 6.26% ( 0.3) 3-1 @ 2.59% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 2.25% ( 0.13) 3-2 @ 1.49% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.36% Total : 33.76%	1-1 @ 13.35% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 10.76% ( 0.29) 2-2 @ 4.14% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.62% Total : 28.87%	0-1 @ 12.38% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 7.68% ( -0.22) 0-2 @ 7.12% ( -0.29) 1-3 @ 2.95% ( -0.19) 0-3 @ 2.73% ( -0.21) 2-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.9% Total : 37.35%