Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Granada win with a probability of 37.36%. A win for Malaga had a probability of 33.76% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Granada win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.68%) and 0-2 (7.12%). The likeliest Malaga win was 1-0 (11.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.