Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Granada win with a probability of 47.12%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Cartagena had a probability of 25.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Granada win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.45%) and 1-2 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.77%), while for a Cartagena win it was 1-0 (9.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Granada would win this match.

Result
Cartagena	Draw	Granada
25.37% ( -0.38)	27.51% ( 0.29)	47.12% ( 0.09)

Both teams to score 45.03% (

-1.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.28% (

-1.22)

59.72% (

1.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.98% (

-0.94)

80.02% (

0.94)

Cartagena Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.38% (

-1.02)

39.62% (

1.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.7% (

-0.96)

76.3% (

0.96)

Granada Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.58% (

-0.5)

25.41% (

0.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.77% (

-0.69)

60.23% (

0.69)

Score Analysis

Cartagena 25.37%

Granada 47.12%

Draw 27.5%

Cartagena	Draw	Granada
1-0 @ 9.32% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 5.91% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 4.32% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 1.83% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 1.33% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.09) Other @ 1.41% Total : 25.37%	1-1 @ 12.77% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 10.06% ( 0.44) 2-2 @ 4.05% ( -0.16) Other @ 0.62% Total : 27.5%	0-1 @ 13.79% ( 0.43) 0-2 @ 9.45% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 8.75% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 4.31% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.99% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.1) 0-4 @ 1.48% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.37% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.14% Total : 47.12%