Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tenerife win with a probability of 43.06%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Granada had a probability of 28.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tenerife win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.61%) and 2-1 (8.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.15%), while for a Granada win it was 0-1 (10.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tenerife would win this match.