Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tenerife win with a probability of 37.14%. A win for Cadiz had a probability of 32.96% and a draw had a probability of 29.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tenerife win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.36%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Cadiz win was 0-1 (12.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tenerife would win this match.