Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Granada win with a probability of 38.78%. A win for Elche had a probability of 33.16% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Granada win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.06%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Elche win was 0-1 (10.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.