/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fgirlog.png)
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Arnau Martinez
57'
-
Diego Simeone
57'
-
Thomas Lemar
84'
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Koke
13'
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Diego Simeone
24'
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Conor Gallagher
38'
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Antoine Griezmann
90'+2'
Girona vs Atletico Madrid - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 49.57%. A win for Girona had a probability of 26.64% and a draw had a probability of 23.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Atletico Madrid win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.31%) and 0-2 (8%). The likeliest Girona win was 2-1 (6.67%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
Result
Girona
26.64%
▼
(-0.05)
Draw
23.79%
Atletico Madrid
49.57%
▲
(+0.05)
Both Teams to Score:
57.28%
▼
(-0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5
55.76%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 2.5
44.24%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 3.5
33.38%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 3.5
66.62%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 4.5
17.07%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 4.5
82.93%
▲
(+0.03)
Girona Goals
Over 0.5
69.8%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 0.5
30.19%
▲
(+0.05)
Over 1.5
33.65%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 1.5
66.35%
▲
(+0.06)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5
82.05%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 0.5
17.94%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 1.5
51.22%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 1.5
48.77%
▼
(-0.01)
Score analysis
Girona
26.64%
Draw
23.78%
Atletico Madrid
49.57%
Girona
2-1
@
6.67%
▼
(-0.01)
1-0 @ 6.49%
2-0 @ 3.89% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 2.66% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.29% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.55% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 26.64%
1-0 @ 6.49%
2-0 @ 3.89% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 2.66% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.29% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.55% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 26.64%
Draw
1-1
@
11.14%
2-2 @ 5.73% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.42% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.31% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.78%
2-2 @ 5.73% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.42% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.31% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.78%
Atletico Madrid
1-2
@
9.57%
▲
(+0.01)
0-1 @ 9.31% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 8% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 5.48% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 4.58% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.28% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 2.36% ▲ (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.97% ▲ (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.41% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 49.57%
0-1 @ 9.31% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 8% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 5.48% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 4.58% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.28% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 2.36% ▲ (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.97% ▲ (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.41% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 49.57%