Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 65.35%. A draw has a probability of 20.81% and a win for Alaves has a probability of 13.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Atletico Madrid win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (12.82%) and 2-1 (10.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.4%) , while for a Alaves win it is 0-1 (4.77%).