La Liga Gameweek 20
Jan 18, 2026 3.15pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Riyadh Air Metropolitano
  • Alexander Sørloth 48' goal
  • Álex Baena 62' yellowcard
  • Koke  62' yellowcard
  • Antoine Griezmann 62' yellowcard
  • Robin Le Normand 78' yellowcard
  • Nahuel Molina 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Denis Suárez 54'
  • yellowcard Ander Guevara 55'
  • yellowcard Lucas Boyé 55'
  • yellowcard Abde Rebbach 69'
  • yellowcard Aitor Mañas 81'

Atletico Madrid vs Alaves - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Madrid

All competitions
Last game
Jan 4, 2026 8.00pm
Real Sociedad 1 - 1 Atletico
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Alexander Sørloth

Alaves

All competitions
Last game
Jan 10, 2026 3.15pm
Villarreal 0 - 0 Alaves
Goals scored
20
Top scorer
Lucas Boye

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 65.35%. A draw has a probability of 20.81% and a win for Alaves has a probability of 13.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Atletico Madrid win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (12.82%) and 2-1 (10.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.4%) , while for a Alaves win it is 0-1 (4.77%).

Result

Atletico Madrid 65.35% (-0.03)
Draw 20.81% (+0.01)
Alaves 13.84% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.14% (+0.03)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.06% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 25.94% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 50.08%
Under 2.5 49.92%
Over 3.5 27.34% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 72.66% (+0.01)
Over 4.5 16.96% (-0.03)
Under 4.5 83.04% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Atletico Madrid 45.61% (+0.02)
Draw 38.18% (-0.03)
Alaves 16.21%

Team To Score First

Atletico Madrid 64.16% (-0.30)
No Goal 7.04%
Alaves 28.8% (+0.29)

Corners

Over 8 61.61% (+0.04)
Equal 8 11.07% (+0.01)
Under 8 27.33% (-0.04)
Over 9 49.98% (+0.02)
Equal 9 11.62%
Under 9 38.39% (-0.04)
Over 10.5 38.79% (+0.01)
Under 10.5 61.21% (-0.01)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 1.5 56.48% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 43.52% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 28.98% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 71.02% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 11.97% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 88.03% (+0.05)

Alaves Goals

Over 0.5 46.15%
Under 0.5 53.85%
Over 1.5 16.06% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 83.94% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 4.06% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 95.94% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 0.84% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 99.16% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Atletico Madrid 65.35%
Draw 20.81%
Alaves 13.84%
Atletico Madrid
1-0 @ 14.13% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 12.82% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 10.12%
3-0 @ 7.92%
3-1 @ 5.8%
3-2 @ 2.62% (-0.01)
Other @ 11.94% (-0.05)
Total : 65.35%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.4% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 7.04%
2-2 @ 3.67% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.03%
Total : 20.81%
Alaves
0-1 @ 4.77%
1-2 @ 3.93% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 1.78%
Other @ 0.81% (+0.02)
Total : 13.84%

Head to Head

La Liga
Aug 30, 2025 4.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
La Liga Gameweek 34
May 3, 2025 1.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio de Mendizorroza
  • Ander Guevara 28' yellowcard
  • Santiago Mourino 56' yellowcard
  • Antonio Blanco 63' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Cesar Azpilicueta 41'
  • yellowcard Julian Alvarez 42'
La Liga Gameweek 14
Nov 23, 2024 3.15pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
  • Angel Correa 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Antoine Griezmann 76' goal
  • Alexander Sorloth 86' goal
  • Diego Simeone 87' yellowcard
  • Julian Alvarez 90' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo De Paul 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Jon Guridi 7'
  • yellowcard Antonio Blanco 58'
  • yellowcard Manu Sanchez 70'
  • yellowcard Luis Garcia 75'
  • yellowcard Tomas Conechny 88'
La Liga Gameweek 32
Apr 21, 2024 5.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio de Mendizorroza
  • Jon Guridi 2' yellowcard
  • Javi Lopez 6' yellowcard
  • Carlos Benavidez 15' goal
  • Abdel Abqar 33' yellowcard
  • Carlos Benavidez 49' yellowcard
  • Rafa Marin 68' yellowcard
  • Luis Rioja 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Angel Correa 45'
  • yellowcard Cesar Azpilicueta 50'
  • yellowcard Stefan Savic 68'
La Liga Gameweek 11
Oct 29, 2023 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
  • Rodrigo Riquelme 26' goal
  • Alvaro Morata 45'+1' goal
  • Marcos Llorente 71' yellowcard
  • Mario Hermoso 71' yellowcard
  • Jan Oblak 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ruben Duarte 71'
  • yellowcard Ianis Hagi 85'
  • goal Ander Guevara 90'+6'
La Liga Gameweek 30
Apr 2, 2022 8.00pm
4
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Joao Felix 11' goal
  • Marcos Llorente 72' yellowcard
  • Luis Suarez 75' goal
  • Joao Felix 82' goal
  • Luis Suarez 90' goal
  • goal Gonzalo Escalante 63'