Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 41.63%. A win for Deportivo La Coruna had a probability of 32.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.96%) and 0-2 (7.1%). The likeliest Deportivo La Coruna win was 1-0 (8.2%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.