Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Las Palmas win with a probability of 41.81%. A win for Deportivo La Coruna had a probability of 29.61% and a draw had a probability of 28.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Las Palmas win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Deportivo La Coruna win was 0-1 (8.86%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.