Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Las Palmas win with a probability of 48.99%. A draw had a probability of 25.81% and a win for Cultural Leonesa had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Las Palmas win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.24%) , while for a Cultural Leonesa win it was 0-1 (8.07%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.