Copa del Rey
Jan 14, 2026 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio de Mendizorroza
  • Toni Martinez 49' goal
  • Toni Martínez 49' goal
  • Carlos Vicente 64' yellowcard
  • Carles Alena 64' yellowcard
  • Jon Guridi 64' yellowcard
  • Carles Aleñá 64' yellowcard
  • Antonio Blanco 85' yellowcard
  • Carlos Vicente 89' goal
  • Jonny Castro 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Jonny Otto 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Pep Chavarria 40'
  • yellowcard Alvaro Garcia 40'
  • yellowcard Pep Chavarría 40'
  • yellowcard Álvaro García 40'
  • yellowcard Isi 61'
  • yellowcard Isi Palazón 61'
  • yellowcard Jorge de Frutos 62'
  • yellowcard Alexandre Alemao 83'
  • yellowcard Alexandre Zurawski 83'

Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Alaves

All competitions

Rayo Vallecano

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 47.11%. A draw had a probability of 26.54% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 26.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.08%) and 0-2 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.55%) , while for a Alaves win it was 1-0 (8.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.

Result

Alaves 26.35%
Draw 26.54%
Rayo Vallecano 47.11%

Both Teams to Score: 

48.61%

Goals

Over 1.5 70.35%
Under 1.5 29.65%
Over 2.5 44.7%
Under 2.5 55.3%
Over 3.5 23.4%
Under 3.5 76.6%
Over 4.5 12.68%
Under 4.5 87.32%

First Half Winner

Alaves 21.77%
Draw 44.8%
Rayo Vallecano 33.43%

Team To Score First

Alaves 35.8%
No Goal 8.89%
Rayo Vallecano 55.31%

Corners

Over 8 60.6%
Equal 8 10.94%
Under 8 28.46%
Over 9 49.2%
Equal 9 11.4%
Under 9 39.4%
Over 10.5 38.29%
Under 10.5 61.71%

Alaves Goals

Over 1.5 25.1%
Under 1.5 74.9%
Over 2.5 7.93%
Under 2.5 92.07%
Over 3.5 1.95%
Under 3.5 98.05%

Rayo Vallecano Goals

Over 0.5 74.69%
Under 0.5 25.31%
Over 1.5 41.6%
Under 1.5 58.4%
Over 2.5 17.7%
Under 2.5 82.3%
Over 3.5 6.34%
Under 3.5 93.66%

Score analysis

Alaves 26.36%
Draw 26.53%
Rayo Vallecano 47.11%
Alaves
1-0 @ 8.62%
2-1 @ 6.23%
2-0 @ 4.24%
3-1 @ 2.17%
3-0 @ 1.65%
3-2 @ 1.54%
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 26.36%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.55%
0-0 @ 8.89%
2-2 @ 4.43%
Other @ 0.04%
Total : 26.53%
Rayo Vallecano
0-1 @ 12.14%
1-2 @ 9.08%
0-2 @ 8.85%
0-3 @ 4.34%
1-3 @ 4.13%
2-3 @ 2.27%
Other @ 6.3%
Total : 47.11%

Head to Head

La Liga
Oct 26, 2025 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
La Liga Gameweek 29
Mar 29, 2025 5.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio de Mendizorroza
  • Pau Cabanes De La Torre 16' yellowcard
  • Santiago Mourino 77' yellowcard
  • Nahuel Tenaglia 80' yellowcard
  • goal Pathe Ciss 2'
  • yellowcard Pelayo Fernandez Balboa 8'
  • yellowcard Randy Nteka 36'
  • yellowcard Oscar Valentin 42'
  • goal Pedro Diaz 58'
  • yellowcard Augusto Batalla 62'
  • yellowcard Aridane Hernandez 78'
La Liga Gameweek 11
Oct 26, 2024 3.15pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio de Vallecas
  • Abdul Mumin 22' redcard
  • Unai Lopez 49' yellowcard
  • Antonio Sivera 80' goal
  • Pep Chavarria 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Manu Sanchez 50'
  • yellowcard Moussa Diarra 67'
  • yellowcard Jon Guridi 77'
  • yellowcard Joan Jordan 88'
La Liga Gameweek 28
Mar 10, 2024 1.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio de Mendizorroza
  • Abdel Abqar 28' yellowcard
  • Andoni Gorosabel 44' goal
  • Antonio Blanco 90'+7' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Isi 13'
  • yellowcard Alfonso Espino 30'
La Liga Gameweek 5
Sep 15, 2023 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio de Vallecas
  • Aridane Hernandez 19' yellowcard
  • Isi 43' goal
  • Jorge de Frutos 82' goal
  • Raul de Tomas 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ruben Duarte 23'
  • yellowcard Luis Garcia 24'
  • yellowcard Alex Sola 41'
  • yellowcard Ianis Hagi 90'+6'
La Liga Gameweek 32
Apr 16, 2022 3.15pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Gonzalo Escalante 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Joselu 64' goal
  • Ruben Duarte 90'+9' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Randy Nteka 55'
  • redcard Ivan Balliu 88'
  • yellowcard Nikola Maras 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Isi 90'+8'