Turkish Super Lig Gameweek 18
Jan 17, 2026 2.00pm
Başakşehir Fatih Terim Stadyumu

Istanbul Basaksehir vs Fatih Karagumruk - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Istanbul Basaksehir

All competitions
Turkish Super Lig
Last game
Dec 22, 2025 2.00pm
Istanbul 5 - 1 Gaziantep
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
Eldor Shomurodov

Fatih Karagumruk

All competitions
Turkish Super Lig
Last game
Dec 21, 2025 11.30am
Alanyaspor 2 - 0 Karagumruk
Goals scored
14
Top scorer
David Datro Fofana

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 57.12%. A draw has a probability of 23.21% and a win for Fatih Karagumruk has a probability of 19.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.23%) and 2-1 (10.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.79%) , while for a Fatih Karagumruk win it is 0-1 (5.92%).

Result

Istanbul Basaksehir 57.12%
Draw 23.21% (+0.04)
Fatih Karagumruk 19.7% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.44%

Goals

Over 1.5 75.66% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 24.34% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 51.83% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 48.17% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 29.69%
Under 3.5 70.31%
Over 4.5 17.54% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 82.46% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Istanbul Basaksehir 42.39%
Draw 38.49%
Fatih Karagumruk 19.12%

Team To Score First

Istanbul Basaksehir 60.87% (-0.02)
No Goal 6.63% (+0.01)
Fatih Karagumruk 32.5%

Corners

Over 8 59.04%
Equal 8 11.77%
Under 8 29.19%
Over 9 46.9%
Equal 9 12.14%
Under 9 40.96%
Over 10.5 35.49%
Under 10.5 64.51%

Istanbul Basaksehir Goals

Over 1.5 52.68% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 47.32% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 25.92% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 74.08% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 10.25%
Under 3.5 89.75%

Fatih Karagumruk Goals

Over 0.5 55.25% (+0.08)
Under 0.5 44.75% (-0.08)
Over 1.5 22.67% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 77.33% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 6.8% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 93.2% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 1.72%
Under 3.5 98.28%

Score analysis

Istanbul Basaksehir 57.13%
Draw 23.22%
Fatih Karagumruk 19.7%
Istanbul Basaksehir
1-0 @ 11.84% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 10.23% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 10.15%
3-0 @ 5.91%
3-1 @ 5.72%
3-2 @ 3.09%
Other @ 10.19%
Total : 57.13%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.79% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 6.63% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.79%
Other @ 0.06%
Total : 23.22%
Fatih Karagumruk
0-1 @ 5.92% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 5.2% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.79% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.65%
2-3 @ 1.59%
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 19.7%

Head to Head

Turkish Super Lig
Sep 17, 2025 6.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Turkish Super Lig Gameweek 21
Jan 20, 2024 1.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Vefa Stadi
  • Davide Biraschi 74' yellowcard
  • Davide Biraschi 76' redcard
  • Salih Dursun 88' goal
  • Valentin Eysseric 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Flavio Paoletti 45' (OG)
  • yellowcard Jerome Opoku 56'
  • yellowcard Deniz Turuc 58'
Turkish Super Lig Gameweek 2
Aug 20, 2023 5.15pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Basaksehir Fatih Terim Stadyumu
  • Eden Karzev 28' yellowcard
  • Serdar Gurler 31' yellowcard
  • Dimitris Pelkas 85' yellowcard
  • goal Ryan Mendes 6'
  • goal Muhammed Sengezer 30' (OG)
  • yellowcard Ryan Mendes 38'
  • yellowcard Marcus Rohden 61'
  • yellowcard Otabek Shukurov 90'
  • yellowcard Salih Dursun 90'+4'
Turkish Super Lig Gameweek 26
Mar 19, 2023 1.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Vefa Stadı
  • Fabio Borini 45'+4' goal
  • Mbaye Diagne 90'+2' goal
  • goal Danijel Aleksic 42'
  • goal Serdar Gurler 90'+1'
Turkish Super Lig Gameweek 7
Sep 18, 2022 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT BaÅŸakÅŸehir Fatih Terim Stadyumu
Turkish Super Lig Gameweek 27
Feb 26, 2022 1.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Trezeguet 25' goal
  • Salih Ucan 72' yellowcard
  • Stefano Okaka 80' yellowcard
  • goal Fabio Borini 39'
  • goal Ahmed Musa 41'
  • yellowcard Caner Erkin 54'
  • yellowcard Munir Mercan 88'