Istanbul Basaksehir
Turkish Super Lig
Dec 22, 2025 at 2pm UK
 

5-1

Shomurodov (21'), Fayzullayev (29'), Kizildag (53' og.), Gunes (68'), Brnic (84')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Camara (26')
Rodrigues (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Istanbul Basaksehir and Gaziantep, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 48.72%. A win for Gaziantep had a probability of 27.38% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.19%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Gaziantep win was 1-2 (6.81%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.

Result
Istanbul BasaksehirDrawGaziantep
48.72% (0.244 0.24)23.9% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)27.38% (-0.24 -0.24)
Both teams to score 57.56% (-0.18 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.83% (-0.152 -0.15)44.17% (0.15199999999999 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.45% (-0.148 -0.15)66.55% (0.149 0.15)
Istanbul Basaksehir Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.75% (0.037999999999997 0.04)18.24% (-0.038 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.71% (0.061999999999998 0.06)49.29% (-0.061 -0.06)
Gaziantep Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.4% (-0.254 -0.25)29.6% (0.253 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.37% (-0.31 -0.31)65.63% (0.31099999999999 0.31)
Score Analysis
    Istanbul Basaksehir 48.72%
    Gaziantep 27.38%
    Draw 23.89%
Istanbul BasaksehirDrawGaziantep
2-1 @ 9.51% (0.017999999999999 0.02)
1-0 @ 9.19% (0.071 0.07)
2-0 @ 7.82% (0.07 0.07)
3-1 @ 5.4% (0.016 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.43% (0.045000000000001 0.05)
3-2 @ 3.28% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.3% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.89% (0.021 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.4% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 48.72%
1-1 @ 11.18% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.79% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 5.4% (0.036 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.33% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.89%
1-2 @ 6.81% (-0.043 -0.04)
0-1 @ 6.58% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 4% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.76% (-0.037 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.35% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.62% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 27.38%

Head to Head
Apr 20, 2025 11.30am
gameweek 32
Istanbul
2-1
Gaziantep
Piatek (42' pen.), Brnic (45+4')
Operi (45')
Piatek (88')
Okereke (9')
Maxim (19'), Viana (40'), N'Diaye (54'), Okereke (54'), Kozlowski (90+6')
Kozlowski (90+7')
Nov 23, 2024 1pm
gameweek 13
Gaziantep
3-0
Istanbul
Kozlowski (28'), Sorescu (45+3'), Okereke (75')
Kozlowski (58'), Okereke (90+5'), Dervisoglu (90+4')

Piatek (71')
Feb 24, 2024 1pm
gameweek 27
Gaziantep
0-2
Istanbul

Monteiro (45')
Piatek (60'), Abeid (90+8')
Figueiredo (40'), Abeid (57'), Turuc (84')
Oct 7, 2023 5pm
gameweek 8
Istanbul
2-0
Gaziantep
Opoku (3'), Djilobodji (36' og.)
Atan (0')
May 30, 2023 6pm
rhs 2.0


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