Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Besiktas win with a probability of 47.43%. A win for Gaziantep had a probability of 29.44% and a draw had a probability of 23.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Besiktas win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.7%) and 2-0 (6.86%). The likeliest Gaziantep win was 1-2 (7.12%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.