Alanyaspor
Turkish Super Lig
Dec 21, 2025 at 11.30am UK
 

2-0

Ui-jo (13'), Yalcin (58')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Alanyaspor and Fatih Karagumruk, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alanyaspor win with a probability of 48.44%. A win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 26.51% and a draw had a probability of 25.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Alanyaspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 2-0 (8.54%). The likeliest Fatih Karagumruk win was 0-1 (7.53%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.

Result
AlanyasporDrawFatih Karagumruk
48.44% (-0.061 -0.06)25.05% (0.016000000000002 0.02)26.51% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Both teams to score 53.05% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.24% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)49.76% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.23% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)71.77% (0.031000000000006 0.03)
Alanyaspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.43% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)20.57% (0.041 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.9% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)53.1% (0.065999999999995 0.07)
Fatih Karagumruk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.79% (0.024000000000001 0.02)33.21% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.18% (0.025000000000002 0.03)69.82% (-0.021999999999991 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Alanyaspor 48.44%
    Fatih Karagumruk 26.51%
    Draw 25.04%
AlanyasporDrawFatih Karagumruk
1-0 @ 10.8%
2-1 @ 9.42% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 8.54% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.96% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.5% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.74% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-1 @ 1.96% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.78% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.08% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 48.44%
1-1 @ 11.9% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.83% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.19%
3-3 @ 1.01% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.04%
0-1 @ 7.53% (0.014 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.56% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.15% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.41% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.91% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.53% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 26.51%

Head to Head
Feb 25, 2024 1pm
gameweek 27
Karagumruk
1-1
Alanyaspor
Eysseric (24')
Lasagna (65'), Mercan (90+3'), Kourbelis (90+6')
Mendes (33')
Mahgoub (90+5' pen.)
Lima (49'), Hadergjonaj (90+2')
Oct 6, 2023 6pm
gameweek 8
Alanyaspor
2-1
Karagumruk
Eduardo (18'), Aydin (83')
Bayir (62'), Ozdemir (72'), Taskiran (90+6'), Janvier (90')
Yalcin (90+2')
Shukurov (39')
Jan 22, 2023 1pm
gameweek 20
Alanyaspor
2-2
Karagumruk
Gunes (6'), Cavaleiro (83')
Borini (59', 79')
Aug 7, 2022 5.15pm
gameweek 1
Karagumruk
2-4
Alanyaspor
Borini (55'), Biraschi (72')
Shukurov (36'), Borini (54')
Eduardo (19', 70'), Bekiroglu (28'), Yardimci (90+3')
Bayir (15'), Candeias (45+3'), Bingol (76')
May 22, 2022 2pm
gameweek 38
Karagumruk
0-1
Alanyaspor

Luckassen (90+3')
Karaca (37')
Awaziem (33'), Fer (55')