Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alanyaspor win with a probability of 48.44%. A win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 26.51% and a draw had a probability of 25.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Alanyaspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 2-0 (8.54%). The likeliest Fatih Karagumruk win was 0-1 (7.53%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.